Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Evans wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.0% vs Beniers 48.8% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Evans 61.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 96.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 88.6%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 94.9%
94.9%
5.1%
Evans
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Evans
Beniers
Last 6: Evans 6-0 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
5
0
Evans
Beniers
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (522)
48.3% (862)
+7.3%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
58.3% (36)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (210)
50.0% (32)
+5.2%
On power play, Evans has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Evans shoots right. Beniers is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Evans
Beniers
Home
54.7% (402)
52.4% (460)
Away
56.9% (341)
45.1% (470)
By Period
Evans
Beniers
P1
57.9%
47.5%
P2
55.2%
50.6%
P3
53.6%
47.6%
OT
66.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.5%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:58 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:28 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Jake Evans |