Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 50.1% vs Stastny 54.0% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 71.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 80.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 59.6%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Evans
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Evans
Stastny
Last 9: Evans 3-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
5
Evans
Stastny
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (320)
52.5% (432)
-0.3%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
60.4% (154)
+39.6%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (83)
66.7% (6)
-25.7%
On power play, Evans has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Evans shoots right. Stastny is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Evans
Stastny
Home
54.3% (223)
58.3% (307)
Away
45.1% (182)
50.9% (285)
By Period
Evans
Stastny
P1
53.9%
57.4%
P2
44.9%
51.7%
P3
52.5%
54.5%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
57.0%
50.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2021 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 30, 2021 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 03:31 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 04:23 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 14:51 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 08:02 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Jake Evans |