Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.1% vs 46.4%). Wilson wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 46.4% vs Guentzel 46.7% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 55.0%
Defensive zone
Wilson 64.0%
Neutral zone
Wilson 54.1%
Result
Colin Wilson favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Wilson
Guentzel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (845)
46.4% (715)
-1.4%
Power Play
50.4% (244)
46.6% (298)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
43.2% (44)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Wilson is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Wilson shoots left. Guentzel is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Home / Away
Wilson
Guentzel
Home
46.1% (531)
48.9% (583)
Away
46.1% (564)
43.2% (474)
By Period
Wilson
Guentzel
P1
46.6%
48.0%
P2
43.2%
45.5%
P3
48.8%
46.0%
OT
45.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
38.0%▼
47.0%
46.1%
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%