Scouting Report
Jake Guentzel holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Dumont wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dumont 44.8% vs Guentzel 50.0% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 54.7%
Defensive zone
Dumont 76.0%
Neutral zone
Dumont 53.5%
Result
Gabriel Dumont favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Dumont
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dumont
Guentzel
Last 5: Dumont 2-3 Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dumont
Guentzel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
1
Dumont
Guentzel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dumont
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (92)
48.4% (95)
-8.2%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
53.3% (30)
+46.7%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
60.0% (5)
-37.8%
On power play, Dumont has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Dumont is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Dumont shoots right. Guentzel is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Dumont
Guentzel
Home
35.2% (54)
50.6% (79)
Away
44.9% (49)
49.0% (51)
By Period
Dumont
Guentzel
P1
43.6%
56.1%
P2
42.1%
44.4%
P3
30.8%
51.4%
Final 5 min
34.6%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dumont
34.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Guentzel
46.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 13:51 | Defensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Gabriel Dumont |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Gabriel Dumont |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 15:56 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |