Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.4% vs 46.3%). Guentzel wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.7% vs Oshie 46.4% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Oshie 60.4%
Defensive zone
Oshie 59.6%
Neutral zone
Oshie 50.6%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Guentzel
Oshie
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (715)
45.2% (764)
+1.2%
Power Play
46.6% (298)
47.7% (1,221)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (44)
40.2% (164)
+3.0%
On penalty kill, Guentzel has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Guentzel is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Guentzel shoots left. Oshie is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,672).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Oshie
Home
48.9% (583)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
43.2% (474)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
Guentzel
Oshie
P1
48.0%
47.3%
P2
45.5%
45.2%
P3
46.0%
46.7%
OT
33.3%
40.8%
Final 5 min
43.1%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%