Casey Mittelstadt vs Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 36.7% vs right-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 41.4% vs Karlsson 44.5% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 67.4%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 53.8%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 60.7%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Last 5: Mittelstadt 1-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (501)
42.2% (223)
-3.1%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
0.0% (1)
+51.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
On power play, Mittelstadt has a +51.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots right. Mittelstadt is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (210).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Karlsson is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Home
43.2% (280)
42.9% (133)
Away
35.9% (256)
40.9% (93)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
P1
41.8%
31.1%
P2
37.6%
53.5%
P3
39.6%
39.0%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
34.9%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
39.7%
Karlsson
46.0%▲
42.5%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 1 | 10:10 | Neutral | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 04:40 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |