Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson vs John Tavares
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Karlsson wins 39.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Karlsson 44.5% vs Tavares 54.2% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 75.0%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 70.9%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 69.2%
Result
Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Karlsson
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Karlsson
Tavares
Last 6: Karlsson 1-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Karlsson
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Karlsson
Tavares
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Karlsson
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
42.2% (223)
53.0% (1,201)
-10.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
61.5% (262)
-61.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
53.8% (65)
-3.8%
On power play, Tavares has a +61.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Karlsson is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Karlsson shoots right. Tavares is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (558).
Home / Away
Karlsson
Tavares
Home
42.9% (133)
57.5% (762)
Away
40.9% (93)
51.4% (766)
By Period
Karlsson
Tavares
P1
31.1%
54.5%
P2
53.5%
53.2%
P3
39.0%
55.5%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Karlsson
46.0%▲
42.5%
42.0%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2018 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 1 | 07:51 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |