Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Frost 50.5% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 61.0%
Defensive zone
Benn 61.3%
Neutral zone
Benn 60.4%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Benn
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Benn
Frost
Last 10: Benn 5-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Benn
Frost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
3
1
Benn
Frost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
3
2
Benn
Frost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,456)
49.6% (3,642)
+3.9%
Power Play
52.6% (2,055)
55.5% (631)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
55.0% (40)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,271).
Benn shoots left. Frost is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,832).
Home / Away
Benn
Frost
Home
54.9% (4,550)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
51.0% (4,492)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Benn
Frost
P1
51.9%
51.1%
P2
52.6%
51.3%
P3
54.0%
48.7%
OT
62.4%
64.9%
Final 5 min
53.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
46.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Frost
68.0%▲
62.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:53 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:51 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:57 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 01:28 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 16:35 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |