Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nylander on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Nylander 49.9% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 67.7%
Defensive zone
Benn 68.3%
Neutral zone
Benn 68.2%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Benn
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Benn
Nylander
Last 8: Benn 5-3 Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Nylander
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
2
3
Benn
Nylander
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Nylander
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,456)
50.2% (1,873)
+3.3%
Power Play
52.6% (2,055)
46.7% (229)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
54.8% (31)
-5.5%
On power play, Benn has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Benn is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,771).
Benn shoots left. Nylander is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,522).
Home / Away
Benn
Nylander
Home
54.9% (4,550)
51.3% (1,186)
Away
51.0% (4,492)
48.2% (947)
By Period
Benn
Nylander
P1
51.9%
51.2%
P2
52.6%
45.6%
P3
54.0%
53.1%
OT
62.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
46.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Nylander
32.0%▼
43.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | William Nylander |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 2 | 05:15 | Defensive | William Nylander |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 1 | 10:54 | Defensive | William Nylander |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 07:59 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 04:19 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |