Scouting Report
Ryan Johnson holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Stoll wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Johnson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 55.0% vs Johnson 60.0% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 54.9%
Defensive zone
Johnson 59.6%
Neutral zone
Johnson 52.9%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Stoll
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stoll
Johnson
Last 5: Stoll 3-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stoll
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
0
Stoll
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (4,886)
63.8% (260)
-7.8%
Power Play
56.5% (496)
50.0% (4)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (1,087)
63.0% (46)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Stoll shoots right. Johnson is 64.4% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Stoll
Johnson
Home
57.2% (3,285)
69.8% (126)
Away
53.0% (3,218)
58.6% (186)
By Period
Stoll
Johnson
P1
54.2%
63.0%
P2
55.8%
61.8%
P3
55.3%
66.0%
OT
52.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
65.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Johnson
66.0%▬
65.5%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2011 | 3 | 04:37 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Ryan Johnson |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |