Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stoll wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stoll 54.6% vs Sobotka 55.1% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stoll 54.5%
Defensive zone
Stoll 53.5%
Neutral zone
Stoll 59.1%
Result
Jarret Stoll favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Stoll
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stoll
Sobotka
Last 5: Stoll 3-2 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
1
Stoll
Sobotka
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stoll
Sobotka
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stoll
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (853)
56.0% (373)
+0.2%
Power Play
53.3% (135)
57.1% (21)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (200)
56.1% (107)
-4.6%
On penalty kill, Sobotka has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Stoll is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Stoll shoots right. Sobotka is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Stoll
Sobotka
Home
60.0% (620)
58.4% (255)
Away
49.7% (584)
53.7% (246)
By Period
Stoll
Sobotka
P1
55.4%
53.4%
P2
54.6%
57.9%
P3
54.6%
55.5%
OT
66.7%
80.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.0%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 22, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 1 | 02:49 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |