Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.3%). Look for Arnott on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.5% vs Arnott 50.3% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arnott 83.8%
Defensive zone
Sutter 73.3%
Neutral zone
Arnott 54.1%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Sutter
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Sutter
Arnott
Last 7: Sutter 2-5 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
Arnott
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
1
3
Sutter
Arnott
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
0
1
Sutter
Arnott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,005)
50.5% (667)
+1.1%
Power Play
36.5% (52)
49.4% (89)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (211)
60.0% (5)
-11.2%
On power play, Arnott has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Sutter is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Sutter shoots right. Arnott is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Sutter
Arnott
Home
49.3% (663)
53.1% (431)
Away
51.7% (632)
46.7% (338)
By Period
Sutter
Arnott
P1
48.0%
46.9%
P2
50.4%
52.9%
P3
53.4%
50.4%
OT
38.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.5%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2011 | OT | 02:22 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 1 | 17:02 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |