Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Dickinson wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.7% vs Carlsson 44.6% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Carlsson leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 86.4%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 63.0%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 65.6%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Dickinson
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Dickinson
Carlsson
Last 10: Dickinson 4-6 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
5
Dickinson
Carlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
4
0
Dickinson
Carlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
0
1
Dickinson
Carlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (670)
45.0% (695)
+6.9%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
46.4% (84)
+20.3%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (156)
32.9% (85)
+6.2%
On power play, Dickinson has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Dickinson shoots left. Carlsson is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Carlsson
Home
48.7% (431)
42.5% (435)
Away
50.7% (404)
45.5% (429)
By Period
Dickinson
Carlsson
P1
43.4%
45.3%
P2
54.9%
38.7%
P3
49.6%
48.5%
OT
66.7%
41.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
38.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 06:41 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:05 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:51 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 14:34 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |