Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dickinson wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.7% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 90.5%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 72.3%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 64.4%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Dickinson
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Dickinson
Schmaltz
Last 9: Dickinson 3-6 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
2
Dickinson
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
3
1
Dickinson
Schmaltz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
3
Dickinson
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (670)
45.9% (697)
+6.0%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
47.9% (117)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (156)
48.0% (25)
-8.9%
On power play, Dickinson has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Dickinson is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Dickinson shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Schmaltz
Home
48.7% (431)
44.9% (434)
Away
50.7% (404)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Dickinson
Schmaltz
P1
43.4%
41.5%
P2
54.9%
46.7%
P3
49.6%
51.1%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 14:27 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 03:34 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 13:07 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 10:21 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 07:05 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 11:17 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |