Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Dickinson wins 56.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.7% vs Thomas 51.9% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Dickinson leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 85.2%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 64.8%
Neutral zone
Thomas 74.5%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Dickinson
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
7
(21 meetings)
14
7
Dickinson
Thomas
Last 10: Dickinson 8-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
5
Dickinson
Thomas
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
11
1
Dickinson
Thomas
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
1
Dickinson
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (670)
50.3% (652)
+1.6%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
61.5% (104)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (156)
54.2% (120)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Dickinson is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Dickinson shoots left. Thomas is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Thomas
Home
48.7% (431)
52.0% (400)
Away
50.7% (404)
52.3% (476)
By Period
Dickinson
Thomas
P1
43.4%
49.6%
P2
54.9%
55.4%
P3
49.6%
51.0%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
43.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:59 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 19:48 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 15:43 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 03:40 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 00:27 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 19:17 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 12:38 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 09:06 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 08:33 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |