Jason Dickinson vs Ryan Carpenter
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.4%). Look for Dickinson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 47.7% vs Carpenter 48.5% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dickinson 53.8%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 52.5%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 53.5%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Dickinson
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Dickinson
Carpenter
Last 8: Dickinson 5-3 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dickinson
Carpenter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dickinson
Carpenter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
3
1
Dickinson
Carpenter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,390)
49.6% (2,027)
-0.6%
Power Play
51.1% (141)
41.5% (41)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (890)
43.9% (467)
-3.3%
On power play, Dickinson has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Dickinson is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,951).
Dickinson shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Carpenter
Home
49.3% (2,791)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
46.0% (2,630)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Dickinson
Carpenter
P1
47.0%
49.6%
P2
48.2%
47.7%
P3
47.7%
48.0%
OT
52.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.7%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 12:52 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 16:11 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 08:05 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 26, 2019 | 1 | 19:05 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 11:17 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |