Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Lander wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 44.8% vs Spezza 53.3% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 83.3%
Defensive zone
Spezza 53.9%
Neutral zone
Spezza 67.7%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 71.2%
28.8%
71.2%
Lander
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lander
Spezza
Last 5: Lander 3-2 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lander
Spezza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lander
1
0
Lander
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lander
Spezza
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (296)
53.8% (1,283)
-7.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
52.8% (303)
-19.5%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (45)
49.4% (89)
-22.7%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Lander is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Lander shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,197).
Home / Away
Lander
Spezza
Home
47.7% (195)
56.4% (853)
Away
37.6% (149)
50.5% (847)
By Period
Lander
Spezza
P1
39.7%
53.4%
P2
45.9%
54.2%
P3
45.0%
53.4%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
42.0%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
43.3%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 03:46 | Defensive | Anton Lander |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 14:58 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Anton Lander |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |