Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 49.4% vs Spezza 57.3% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 88.9%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 61.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 61.4%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Soderberg
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Soderberg
Spezza
Last 5: Soderberg 4-1 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Soderberg
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Soderberg
3
0
Soderberg
Spezza
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
1
0
Soderberg
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (755)
58.0% (697)
-7.5%
Power Play
55.0% (80)
60.0% (105)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (235)
60.0% (5)
-16.2%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Soderberg is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Soderberg shoots left. Spezza is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Spezza
Home
50.1% (555)
58.2% (376)
Away
48.5% (515)
58.2% (431)
By Period
Soderberg
Spezza
P1
49.9%
63.3%
P2
45.5%
54.9%
P3
52.2%
57.4%
OT
55.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
49.3%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2019 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 3 | 06:05 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 19:45 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |