Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 54.0%). Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.0% vs Spezza 53.7% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 85.4%
Defensive zone
Moore 70.2%
Neutral zone
Spezza 57.0%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Moore
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Moore
Spezza
Last 9: Moore 3-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
5
Moore
Spezza
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
2
0
Moore
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Moore
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (561)
53.9% (1,097)
+2.6%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
54.8% (250)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (79)
52.8% (89)
-9.8%
On power play, Spezza has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Moore is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Moore shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,020).
Home / Away
Moore
Spezza
Home
57.1% (273)
55.8% (695)
Away
52.8% (375)
52.2% (741)
By Period
Moore
Spezza
P1
55.7%
50.3%
P2
52.6%
54.7%
P3
55.1%
56.0%
OT
100.0%
73.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.6%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 04:52 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |