Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.0%). Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Moore wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Moore 54.1% vs Spezza 53.7% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 92.8%
Defensive zone
Moore 74.7%
Neutral zone
Moore 51.4%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Moore
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Moore
Spezza
Last 9: Moore 3-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
5
Moore
Spezza
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Moore
3
1
Moore
Spezza
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Moore
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (813)
53.0% (998)
+2.1%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
58.5% (248)
+27.2%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (254)
50.0% (16)
+1.6%
On power play, Moore has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Moore is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (403).
Moore shoots left. Spezza is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
Moore
Spezza
Home
55.5% (503)
56.4% (626)
Away
53.6% (571)
51.7% (636)
By Period
Moore
Spezza
P1
51.3%
56.9%
P2
53.9%
51.9%
P3
57.7%
53.9%
OT
63.6%
46.2%
Final 5 min
53.8%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Moore
62.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2015 | 3 | 04:04 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 01:48 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 09:48 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 1 | 08:24 | Defensive | Dominic Moore |