Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Eichel wins 34.1% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 41.9% vs Spezza 54.4% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 77.9%
Defensive zone
Eichel 82.9%
Neutral zone
Eichel 85.6%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 81.3%
81.3%
18.7%
Eichel
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
11
(13 meetings)
2
11
Eichel
Spezza
Last 10: Eichel 1-9 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
6
Eichel
Spezza
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Spezza
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
5
Eichel
Spezza
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (899)
53.2% (763)
-11.5%
Power Play
37.0% (54)
60.9% (197)
-23.9%
Penalty Kill
25.9% (27)
57.1% (21)
-31.2%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +31.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Eichel is 34.1% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Eichel shoots right. Spezza is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Eichel
Spezza
Home
43.6% (489)
57.5% (518)
Away
38.5% (491)
51.8% (463)
By Period
Eichel
Spezza
P1
42.6%
55.4%
P2
40.7%
54.1%
P3
38.9%
55.5%
OT
62.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
48.0%▲
46.5%
41.0%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 09:30 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 14:03 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 08:37 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 1 | 16:53 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 1 | 00:58 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |