Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.2% vs Spezza 54.7% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 86.3%
Defensive zone
Eichel 77.6%
Neutral zone
Eichel 85.3%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Eichel
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
14
(20 meetings)
6
14
Eichel
Spezza
Last 10: Eichel 4-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
8
Eichel
Spezza
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
1
Eichel
Spezza
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
5
Eichel
Spezza
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (8,513)
54.4% (7,990)
-9.6%
Power Play
52.7% (929)
56.8% (1,726)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (550)
52.7% (643)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Eichel is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,913).
Eichel shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Home / Away
Eichel
Spezza
Home
45.8% (4,954)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
44.5% (5,038)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Eichel
Spezza
P1
45.5%
55.7%
P2
45.8%
54.4%
P3
44.1%
54.1%
OT
44.1%
51.5%
Final 5 min
46.1%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.1%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 05:45 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 15:34 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 14:25 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 1 | 11:07 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 07:58 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 1 | 15:14 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 09:30 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 14:03 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 08:37 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 01:41 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 1 | 16:53 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 1 | 00:58 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |