Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hecht on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Spezza wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hecht shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.3% vs Hecht 46.5% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hecht 53.6%
Defensive zone
Hecht 83.2%
Neutral zone
Hecht 67.1%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 75.1%
24.9%
75.1%
Spezza
Hecht
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Spezza
Hecht
Last 6: Spezza 2-4 Hecht
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
1
2
Spezza
Hecht
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hecht
1
2
Spezza
Hecht
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Hecht
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,283)
46.9% (243)
+6.9%
Power Play
52.8% (303)
53.3% (15)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (89)
35.0% (40)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hecht shoots left. Spezza is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,197).
Spezza shoots right. Hecht is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Spezza
Hecht
Home
56.4% (853)
49.3% (150)
Away
50.5% (847)
41.3% (150)
By Period
Spezza
Hecht
P1
53.4%
44.3%
P2
54.2%
50.0%
P3
53.4%
41.9%
OT
44.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.7%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2011 | OT | 02:07 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 06:10 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 02:31 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |