Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +20.0% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Porter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Porter 44.4% (+20.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 89.6%
Defensive zone
Spezza 72.7%
Neutral zone
Spezza 76.3%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Spezza
Porter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Spezza
Porter
Last 5: Spezza 4-1 Porter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Porter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Porter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Porter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Porter
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (1,097)
31.3% (48)
+22.6%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (89)
60.0% (5)
-7.2%
On even strength, Spezza has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Porter shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,020).
Spezza shoots right. Porter is 32.0% vs right-shot opponents (25).
Home / Away
Spezza
Porter
Home
55.8% (695)
36.7% (30)
Away
52.2% (741)
30.4% (23)
By Period
Spezza
Porter
P1
50.3%
41.2%
P2
54.7%
38.9%
P3
56.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
52.1%
30.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Porter
50.0%▲
42.0%
34.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2013 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Kevin Porter |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |