Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Holland 46.9% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 54.5%
Defensive zone
Holland 68.8%
Neutral zone
Holland 57.0%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Spezza
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Spezza
Holland
Last 5: Spezza 2-3 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Holland
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spezza
Holland
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
0
2
Spezza
Holland
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (1,097)
46.0% (374)
+7.9%
Power Play
54.8% (250)
55.6% (18)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (89)
0.0% (3)
+52.8%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,020).
Spezza shoots right. Holland is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Spezza
Holland
Home
55.8% (695)
46.7% (225)
Away
52.2% (741)
45.3% (170)
By Period
Spezza
Holland
P1
50.3%
48.2%
P2
54.7%
47.1%
P3
56.0%
41.9%
OT
73.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 09:35 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 1 | 08:28 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 1 | 00:17 | Defensive | Peter Holland |