Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 35 meetings). Spezza wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 54.7% vs Monahan 51.2% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 48-34 in 82 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 74.4%
Defensive zone
Spezza 74.1%
Neutral zone
Spezza 73.4%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Spezza
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
48
-
34
(82 meetings)
48
34
Spezza
Monahan
Last 10: Spezza 8-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
21
14
Spezza
Monahan
35 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
18
15
Spezza
Monahan
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
9
5
Spezza
Monahan
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (7,990)
51.1% (11,407)
+3.3%
Power Play
56.8% (1,726)
53.6% (2,582)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (643)
45.9% (772)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Spezza shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Spezza
Monahan
Home
56.8% (5,066)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
52.7% (5,332)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Spezza
Monahan
P1
55.7%
51.0%
P2
54.4%
51.7%
P3
54.1%
51.0%
OT
51.5%
53.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 02:26 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 06:08 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 1 | 12:23 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 19:55 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 04:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |