Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Mitchell 49.1% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 92.1%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 54.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 62.0%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Spezza
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Spezza
Mitchell
Last 10: Spezza 7-3 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
4
1
Spezza
Mitchell
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
2
Spezza
Mitchell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
0
Spezza
Mitchell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (998)
48.8% (699)
+4.2%
Power Play
58.5% (248)
28.6% (7)
+29.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
51.9% (108)
-1.9%
On power play, Spezza has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Spezza is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Spezza shoots right. Mitchell is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Spezza
Mitchell
Home
56.4% (626)
50.0% (436)
Away
51.7% (636)
47.9% (378)
By Period
Spezza
Mitchell
P1
56.9%
49.4%
P2
51.9%
48.4%
P3
53.9%
48.7%
OT
46.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 14:42 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 00:58 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 2 | 00:43 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 1 | 07:23 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |