Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rose wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rose 44.9% vs Beagle 58.0% (-16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rose 80.9%
Defensive zone
Beagle 73.1%
Neutral zone
Rose 56.1%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Rose
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rose
Beagle
Last 5: Rose 2-3 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
3
Rose
Beagle
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rose
2
0
Rose
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rose
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (234)
59.0% (458)
-16.7%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
84.2% (19)
-67.5%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (34)
57.2% (201)
-4.3%
On power play, Beagle has a +67.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Rose is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Rose shoots left. Beagle is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Home / Away
Rose
Beagle
Home
40.7% (140)
62.7% (306)
Away
45.5% (134)
56.2% (372)
By Period
Rose
Beagle
P1
46.9%
64.5%
P2
41.3%
56.7%
P3
40.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
35.7%
62.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
43.1%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |