Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 62.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.2% vs Bergeron 58.8% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 71.1%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 50.3%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 65.0%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Beagle
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Beagle
Bergeron
Last 5: Beagle 3-2 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Beagle
Bergeron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
0
Beagle
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Beagle
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
60.7% (173)
61.6% (1,186)
-0.9%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
52.2% (201)
-27.2%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (34)
54.6% (240)
-10.5%
On power play, Bergeron has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Beagle is 62.9% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Beagle shoots right. Bergeron is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Beagle
Bergeron
Home
58.3% (115)
61.7% (828)
Away
57.0% (100)
56.8% (813)
By Period
Beagle
Bergeron
P1
57.1%
58.5%
P2
55.6%
61.8%
P3
62.1%
57.8%
OT
42.9%
58.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.7%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 00:40 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 1 | 14:00 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 19:22 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |