Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-4.0%)
Offensive zone
McClement 57.3%
Defensive zone
McClement 60.9%
Neutral zone
McClement 57.2%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
McClement
Kastelic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
57.0% (1,635)
-2.6%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
80.0% (25)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
53.8% (279)
-6.6%
On power play, Kastelic has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. McClement is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,069).
McClement shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,445).
Home / Away
McClement
Kastelic
Home
55.4% (2,788)
58.7% (904)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
55.2% (1,035)
By Period
McClement
Kastelic
P1
53.5%
58.6%
P2
52.0%
56.5%
P3
53.2%
55.6%
OT
47.9%
53.8%
Final 5 min
52.4%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
56.8%