Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McClement wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 55.0% vs Stastny 57.3% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McClement 51.9%
Defensive zone
McClement 84.7%
Neutral zone
McClement 62.7%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
McClement
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
McClement
Stastny
Last 5: McClement 0-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
5
McClement
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (714)
57.6% (959)
-0.5%
Power Play
51.4% (37)
60.8% (125)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (239)
58.1% (74)
-7.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. McClement is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (640).
McClement shoots left. Stastny is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Home / Away
McClement
Stastny
Home
55.8% (475)
55.9% (590)
Away
55.1% (515)
60.0% (568)
By Period
McClement
Stastny
P1
55.6%
59.6%
P2
57.3%
59.0%
P3
53.2%
55.3%
OT
54.5%
58.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
65.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2015 | OT | 03:30 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 3 | 19:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 3 | 09:46 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |