Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Megna wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Megna 49.2% vs Acciari 51.3% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Megna 71.2%
Defensive zone
Acciari 64.9%
Neutral zone
Acciari 52.1%
Result
Jayson Megna favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Megna
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Megna
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Megna
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Megna
1
0
Megna
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Megna
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Megna
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (401)
52.8% (3,296)
-3.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
48.3% (87)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
47.0% (1,073)
+0.6%
On even strength, Acciari has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Megna is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Megna shoots right. Acciari is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,194).
Home / Away
Megna
Acciari
Home
49.3% (227)
51.9% (2,139)
Away
48.6% (220)
50.7% (2,317)
By Period
Megna
Acciari
P1
51.7%
52.3%
P2
49.3%
51.5%
P3
46.3%
50.3%
Final 5 min
58.0%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Megna
46.0%▼
53.5%
49.0%
Acciari
44.0%▼
45.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 03:02 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 11:34 | Defensive | Jayson Megna |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 1 | 02:24 | Offensive | Jayson Megna |