Dylan Strome vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Strome wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.3% vs Pageau 59.0% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 87.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 76.7%
Neutral zone
Pageau 57.9%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Strome
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
12
(16 meetings)
4
12
Strome
Pageau
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
5
Strome
Pageau
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
5
Strome
Pageau
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
2
Strome
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (890)
59.4% (726)
-3.0%
Power Play
66.9% (311)
69.0% (42)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
59.7% (221)
-18.0%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Strome is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (391).
Strome shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Strome
Pageau
Home
55.7% (627)
58.4% (430)
Away
62.5% (586)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Strome
Pageau
P1
61.7%
55.4%
P2
55.7%
61.8%
P3
60.1%
61.5%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
58.9%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 01:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 00:28 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 05:29 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 17:53 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:35 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:50 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |