Erik Haula vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 49.7% vs Pageau 59.0% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 81.9%
Defensive zone
Haula 83.8%
Neutral zone
Haula 83.1%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Haula
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Haula
Pageau
Last 10: Haula 3-7 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
3
Haula
Pageau
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
4
Haula
Pageau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (747)
59.4% (726)
-9.5%
Power Play
53.8% (78)
69.0% (42)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (66)
59.7% (221)
-17.3%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Haula is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Haula shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Haula
Pageau
Home
48.5% (468)
58.4% (430)
Away
51.1% (423)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Haula
Pageau
P1
52.5%
55.4%
P2
51.1%
61.8%
P3
45.9%
61.5%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 01:41 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 04:12 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 04:08 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 17:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 14:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 11:36 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |