Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Joel Eriksson Ek
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Ek 49.2% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 71.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 92.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 89.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 89.0%
89.0%
11.0%
Pageau
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Pageau
Ek
Last 9: Pageau 7-2 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
1
Pageau
Ek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
1
Pageau
Ek
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Ek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
48.1% (858)
+11.3%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
53.3% (272)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
47.9% (188)
+11.8%
On power play, Pageau has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Pageau shoots right. Ek is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (417).
Home / Away
Pageau
Ek
Home
58.4% (430)
49.9% (693)
Away
61.0% (559)
48.3% (625)
By Period
Pageau
Ek
P1
55.4%
47.4%
P2
61.8%
53.1%
P3
61.5%
46.3%
OT
75.0%
54.9%
Final 5 min
63.1%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 05:28 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |