Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Joel Eriksson Ek

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pageau 59.0% vs Ek 49.2% (+10.7%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Pageau 71.0%
Defensive zone Pageau 92.1%
Neutral zone Pageau 89.8%
Result Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 89.0%
89.0%
11.0%
Pageau Ek
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 2 (9 meetings)
7
2
Pageau Ek
Last 9: Pageau 7-2 Ek

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
0
1
Pageau Ek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
1
Pageau Ek
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau Ek
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pageau
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
48.1% (858)
+11.3%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
53.3% (272)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
47.9% (188)
+11.8%
On power play, Pageau has a +15.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Ek shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Pageau shoots right. Ek is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (417).
Home / Away
Pageau
Ek
Home
58.4% (430)
49.9% (693)
Away
61.0% (559)
48.3% (625)
By Period
Pageau
Ek
P1
55.4%
47.4%
P2
61.8%
53.1%
P3
61.5%
46.3%
OT
75.0%
54.9%
Final 5 min
63.1%
44.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%
60.0%
59.9%
Ek
60.0%
52.0%
49.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 7, 2025 3 11:51 Offensive Joel Eriksson Ek
Nov 7, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 7, 2025 2 12:00 Defensive Joel Eriksson Ek
Nov 7, 2025 2 05:28 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 7, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 7, 2025 1 18:13 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 7, 2025 1 15:25 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 7, 2025 1 11:08 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Nov 7, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau