Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 59.0% vs Dubois 48.9% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 77.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 92.2%
Neutral zone
Pageau 92.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Pageau
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Pageau
Dubois
Last 5: Pageau 4-1 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau
Dubois
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
59.4% (726)
44.8% (259)
+14.6%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
70.6% (34)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
59.7% (221)
75.0% (8)
-15.3%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Pageau shoots right. Dubois is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Pageau
Dubois
Home
58.4% (430)
46.6% (163)
Away
61.0% (559)
50.7% (138)
By Period
Pageau
Dubois
P1
55.4%
44.0%
P2
61.8%
51.5%
P3
61.5%
49.5%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 18:31 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |