Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Torrey Mitchell
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.6%). Look for Mitchell on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 43.1% vs right-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 52.0% vs Mitchell 51.4% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 68.4%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 71.3%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 69.6%
Result
Torrey Mitchell favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
Pageau
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Pageau
Mitchell
Last 8: Pageau 0-8 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
2
Pageau
Mitchell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
2
Pageau
Mitchell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
4
Pageau
Mitchell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (882)
52.2% (590)
+1.9%
Power Play
45.0% (60)
77.8% (9)
-32.8%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (235)
46.6% (118)
+0.2%
On power play, Mitchell has a +32.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Pageau is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Pageau shoots right. Mitchell is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Pageau
Mitchell
Home
54.7% (592)
53.1% (356)
Away
49.6% (585)
50.1% (361)
By Period
Pageau
Mitchell
P1
51.0%
60.1%
P2
54.3%
48.3%
P3
51.8%
47.2%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
52.2%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 04:45 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 2 | 15:20 | Offensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 14:45 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 14:35 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 3, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |