Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 49.7% vs Carter 51.8% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 60.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 82.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 58.6%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Cizikas
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Cizikas
Carter
Last 10: Cizikas 2-8 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
3
Cizikas
Carter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
4
Cizikas
Carter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Cizikas
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (676)
53.4% (1,137)
-2.7%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
48.7% (154)
+20.5%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (157)
42.7% (124)
+0.6%
On power play, Cizikas has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Cizikas is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Cizikas shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (964).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Carter
Home
49.8% (486)
54.8% (753)
Away
49.4% (360)
48.6% (662)
By Period
Cizikas
Carter
P1
50.6%
52.8%
P2
46.0%
53.0%
P3
52.4%
49.9%
OT
45.5%
53.3%
Final 5 min
46.9%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
49.6%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 18:30 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 12:19 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 18:41 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 14:41 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 01:33 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 06:23 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 03:49 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |