Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Miller wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.9% vs Carter 53.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 21-17 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 56.9%
Defensive zone
Carter 56.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 51.3%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Miller
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
17
(38 meetings)
21
17
Miller
Carter
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
7
10
Miller
Carter
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
7
4
Miller
Carter
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
7
3
Miller
Carter
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (6,690)
53.3% (8,728)
+2.0%
Power Play
58.0% (1,289)
57.3% (1,554)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (919)
46.3% (1,087)
+2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Miller is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,958).
Miller shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Miller
Carter
Home
56.0% (4,622)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
53.8% (4,276)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Miller
Carter
P1
54.8%
53.6%
P2
55.7%
52.8%
P3
54.1%
53.1%
OT
62.3%
56.5%
Final 5 min
55.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 17:13 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 11:36 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 03:25 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 3 | 06:46 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 19:07 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 16:07 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 11:52 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 05:28 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |