Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lander wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Smithson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lander 44.8% vs Smithson 55.3% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lander 86.7%
Defensive zone
Lander 78.1%
Neutral zone
Lander 79.0%
Result
Anton Lander favored at 81.8%
81.8%
18.2%
Lander
Smithson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Lander
Smithson
Last 8: Lander 1-7 Smithson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
0
3
Lander
Smithson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
0
1
Lander
Smithson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
3
Lander
Smithson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lander
Smithson
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (296)
57.9% (518)
-12.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
40.0% (10)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (45)
50.0% (108)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Smithson has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smithson shoots right. Lander is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Lander shoots left. Smithson is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Lander
Smithson
Home
47.7% (195)
57.8% (306)
Away
37.6% (149)
54.6% (339)
By Period
Lander
Smithson
P1
39.7%
51.8%
P2
45.9%
54.8%
P3
45.0%
62.0%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
42.0%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lander
54.0%▼
56.0%
43.3%
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2011 | 3 | 12:30 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | Anton Lander |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 1 | 07:45 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 2 | 09:51 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |