Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +22.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Boqvist wins 26.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 39.0% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-22.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 86.5%
Defensive zone
Boqvist 85.2%
Neutral zone
Boqvist 84.8%
Result
Jesper Boqvist favored at 85.7%
85.7%
14.3%
Boqvist
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Boqvist
Zibanejad
Last 7: Boqvist 0-7 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
3
Boqvist
Zibanejad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Boqvist
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
2
Boqvist
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
30.7% (101)
53.3% (807)
-22.6%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
47.6% (42)
-27.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
46.3% (147)
-46.3%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +46.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Boqvist is 26.7% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Boqvist shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Zibanejad
Home
30.0% (60)
49.8% (466)
Away
28.0% (50)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Boqvist
Zibanejad
P1
35.9%
52.9%
P2
27.5%
51.2%
P3
22.6%
51.7%
Final 5 min
33.3%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
28.0%▼
35.5%
29.1%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 03:22 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:41 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |