Chandler Stephenson vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 51.9%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 54.7%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 51.8%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Stephenson
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Stephenson
Kotkaniemi
Last 7: Stephenson 6-1 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
1
Stephenson
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
0
Stephenson
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (829)
51.7% (586)
-0.1%
Power Play
62.7% (142)
48.1% (52)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (79)
62.5% (8)
-18.2%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Stephenson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Stephenson shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Kotkaniemi
Home
52.5% (499)
49.5% (313)
Away
52.6% (551)
53.5% (333)
By Period
Stephenson
Kotkaniemi
P1
50.2%
54.5%
P2
55.7%
51.1%
P3
50.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.6%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 14:26 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 10:10 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 06:19 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 10:15 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |