Fedor Svechkov vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Svechkov on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Svechkov wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Svechkov 43.2% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 73.1%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 57.2%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 59.7%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 65.1%
34.9%
65.1%
Svechkov
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Svechkov
Kotkaniemi
Last 5: Svechkov 3-2 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
2
Svechkov
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Svechkov
3
0
Svechkov
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Svechkov
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (472)
47.3% (207)
-5.6%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
100.0% (3)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
33.3% (3)
+16.7%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Svechkov is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Svechkov shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Svechkov
Kotkaniemi
Home
39.7% (247)
46.5% (129)
Away
44.0% (234)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Svechkov
Kotkaniemi
P1
36.1%
51.3%
P2
44.5%
46.1%
P3
44.1%
45.9%
Final 5 min
42.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Svechkov
28.0%▼
38.5%
41.8%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 19:44 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 08:01 | Neutral | Fedor Svechkov |