Scouting Report
Mats Zuccarello holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zuccarello shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 40.2% vs Zuccarello 40.6% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
Zuccarello 67.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 50.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.4%
Result
Mats Zuccarello favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Hayes
Zuccarello
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Zuccarello
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (202)
39.4% (439)
-3.3%
Power Play
34.3% (35)
36.1% (61)
-1.8%
On even strength, Zuccarello has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zuccarello shoots left. Hayes is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (159).
Hayes shoots right. Zuccarello is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Hayes
Zuccarello
Home
34.7% (124)
38.6% (272)
Away
37.7% (114)
39.0% (249)
By Period
Hayes
Zuccarello
P1
38.6%
36.6%
P2
26.5%
36.3%
P3
43.5%
44.9%
Final 5 min
30.2%
30.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
28.0%▼
35.5%
36.1%
Zuccarello
50.0%▲
42.0%
38.8%