Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.2% vs 43.0%). Hecht wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 43.7% vs Cates 43.2% (+0.2%)
Offensive zone
Hecht 55.4%
Defensive zone
Cates 51.5%
Neutral zone
Cates 52.9%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Hecht
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (1,074)
44.1% (2,786)
-0.9%
Power Play
44.1% (93)
42.9% (254)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (207)
34.9% (373)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Hecht has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Hecht is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (899).
Hecht shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,307).
Home / Away
Hecht
Cates
Home
45.5% (714)
43.9% (1,708)
Away
40.7% (668)
42.2% (1,705)
By Period
Hecht
Cates
P1
41.9%
44.5%
P2
44.7%
43.7%
P3
43.1%
41.2%
OT
40.0%
29.4%
Final 5 min
44.1%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
43.2%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%