Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.5%). Look for Colborne on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sutter wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Colborne shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 47.9% vs Colborne 48.8% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colborne 74.0%
Defensive zone
Sutter 66.2%
Neutral zone
Colborne 57.7%
Result
Joe Colborne favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Sutter
Colborne
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Sutter
Colborne
Last 6: Sutter 1-5 Colborne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
0
2
Sutter
Colborne
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
0
1
Sutter
Colborne
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colborne
1
2
Sutter
Colborne
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Colborne
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (863)
48.6% (381)
+1.0%
Power Play
50.0% (72)
51.0% (51)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (215)
33.3% (9)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colborne shoots left. Sutter is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Sutter shoots right. Colborne is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Sutter
Colborne
Home
48.5% (542)
53.9% (243)
Away
47.0% (608)
41.9% (198)
By Period
Sutter
Colborne
P1
49.2%
48.3%
P2
49.4%
50.4%
P3
44.6%
47.3%
OT
52.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
47.7%
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 07:45 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 13:02 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |