Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 54.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.4% vs Sobotka 53.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 73.2%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 58.1%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 60.7%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Pavelski
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Pavelski
Sobotka
Last 5: Pavelski 3-2 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Sobotka
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Sobotka
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
1
Pavelski
Sobotka
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (690)
56.0% (300)
-2.8%
Power Play
61.5% (174)
52.0% (25)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (47)
37.0% (27)
+18.3%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Pavelski is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (707).
Pavelski shoots right. Sobotka is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Sobotka
Home
56.1% (421)
60.3% (156)
Away
53.9% (490)
49.5% (196)
By Period
Pavelski
Sobotka
P1
57.1%
56.5%
P2
55.8%
55.6%
P3
52.5%
49.5%
OT
44.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
60.8%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.9%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2018 | OT | 02:22 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 1 | 18:49 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |