Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 52.4% vs Lindholm 50.1% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 66.4%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 81.7%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 60.9%
Result
Par Lindholm favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Thornton
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Thornton
Lindholm
Last 10: Thornton 3-7 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Lindholm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
2
Thornton
Lindholm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
4
Thornton
Lindholm
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (638)
51.1% (274)
+1.4%
Power Play
57.1% (35)
33.3% (6)
+23.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
48.8% (127)
+1.2%
On power play, Thornton has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots left. Thornton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Thornton shoots left. Lindholm is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Home / Away
Thornton
Lindholm
Home
54.8% (341)
56.3% (183)
Away
50.6% (334)
45.1% (224)
By Period
Thornton
Lindholm
P1
55.2%
47.7%
P2
56.5%
51.0%
P3
47.1%
51.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Lindholm
42.0%▼
45.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 10:59 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 12:54 | Defensive | Par Lindholm |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Par Lindholm |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Par Lindholm |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 12:06 | Neutral | Par Lindholm |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | Par Lindholm |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 12:51 | Neutral | Par Lindholm |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 05:28 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 1 | 02:10 | Neutral | Par Lindholm |