Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Lapierre wins 36.3% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 43.4% vs Veleno 50.9% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 68.8%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 66.5%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 70.6%
Result
Hendrix Lapierre favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Lapierre
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lapierre
Veleno
Last 5: Lapierre 1-4 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
2
Lapierre
Veleno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
1
Lapierre
Veleno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lapierre
Veleno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (264)
52.5% (278)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
37.9% (29)
-37.9%
On penalty kill, Veleno has a +37.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Lapierre is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Lapierre shoots left. Veleno is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Veleno
Home
44.2% (138)
49.6% (123)
Away
37.6% (133)
52.2% (184)
By Period
Lapierre
Veleno
P1
55.2%
54.1%
P2
40.6%
48.8%
P3
26.5%
52.6%
Final 5 min
35.3%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
50.0%▲
41.0%
41.0%
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:56 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:44 | Neutral | Hendrix Lapierre |