Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Reasoner on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Vitale wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Reasoner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 55.0% vs Reasoner 52.5% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vitale 53.0%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 51.9%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 59.6%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Vitale
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Vitale
Reasoner
Last 9: Vitale 3-6 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
1
4
Vitale
Reasoner
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Reasoner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reasoner
1
2
Vitale
Reasoner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (646)
55.2% (475)
+0.7%
Power Play
100.0% (12)
45.5% (11)
+54.5%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (61)
42.9% (84)
+4.6%
On power play, Vitale has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Vitale is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Vitale shoots right. Reasoner is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Vitale
Reasoner
Home
56.9% (383)
54.8% (263)
Away
54.4% (340)
51.5% (309)
By Period
Vitale
Reasoner
P1
51.5%
55.7%
P2
58.2%
47.8%
P3
56.8%
54.9%
OT
80.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
55.7%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2011 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 04:04 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 01:40 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 17:06 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |